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February 18, 2008

Obama, Chicago, and Harold Washington

My political roots are in the Chicago of the 1980s, the interregnum between the Mayor Daleys when racial politics threatened to tear apart the city.  National politics -- Reagan, Iran-Contra, etc -- flew at the edge of my political radar, but I was extremely attentive to the ongoing saga of Chicago city politics.  Harold Washington, Chicago's mayor from 1983 through 1987, was my first and strongest political icon.  I was, and remain, extremely proud that the very first vote I cast in my life was for his re-election in the mayoral campaign of 1987.  Washington's substantial victory that year -- after squeaking to victory in 1983 against a previously unknown Republican, whose late surge to near victory was driven by racist fears of a black mayor by much of the white population of Chicago -- represented to me the defeat of the forces of racial divisiveness.

My formative years under the spell of Harold Washington's anti-machine, reformist, and racially unifying administration may help explain my affinity towards Barack Obama, whose career began in that same place and time.  I was reminded of all this by a recent article in Salon by Edward McClelland, which is a very interesting look at Chicago's, and Harold Washington's, influence upon Obama during those years. 

Here is an excerpt:

Ironically, Chicago became the political capital of black America because it was so racist. For most of the 20th century, it was the most segregated city in America. Blacks used to have a saying: "In the South, the white man doesn't care how close you get, as long as you don't get too high; in the North, he doesn't care how high you get, as long as you don't get too close." During the Great Migration, the refugees who rode up from Mississippi on the Illinois Central Railroad were crowded into the Black Belt, the South Side ghetto portrayed in Richard Wright's "Native Son." Because the black population was so concentrated, white politicians couldn't gerrymander it out of a congressional seat. One of De Priest's successors, William Dawson, was the most powerful black politician in America. He helped boot out the predecessor to Mayor Richard J. Daley, the current mayor's father, who bossed Chicago from 1955 to 1976. In return, Daley's machine rewarded Dawson with control of the entire South Side.

The politician who truly set the stage for Obama's rise was also a South Side congressman: Harold Washington, who was elected mayor of Chicago in 1983, beating two white opponents in the Democratic primary -- incumbent Mayor Jane Byrne and future Mayor Richard M. Daley. In the general election, the difference between Washington and his Republican opponent was black and white -- and nothing else. When Washington campaigned at a church in a Polish neighborhood, he was greeted with the grafitto "Die, Nigger, Die."

In New York, Obama read about Washington's victory and wrote to City Hall, asking for a job. He never heard back, but he made it to Chicago just months after Washington took office. In his memoir "Dreams From My Father," he wrote about walking into a barbershop and seeing the new mayor's picture on the wall. (It's probably still there. To this day, Washington's image is as revered by South Side blacks as St. Anthony of Padua's is by Italian Catholics.) The old men, who'd suffered a lifetime of slights by white mayors, saw in Washington a sign that the black community had finally arrived as a citywide power. Blacks may have run things in their own neighborhoods, but they were still crammed into dreary housing projects, and they sent their children to overcrowded schools -- while white schools just across the color line sat half empty. And of course, the big political jobs -- the state's attorney, the County Board president, the mayor -- had always been controlled by the Irish.

"Before Harold," the barber said, "seemed like we'd always be second-class citizens."

After too many triple cheeseburgers and deep-dish pizzas, Washington dropped dead of a heart attack in his second term. But the confidence he instilled in black leaders became a permanent factor in Chicago politics. His success inspired Jesse Jackson to run for president in 1984, which in turn inspired Obama, who was impressed to see a black man on the same stage as Walter Mondale and Gary Hart. Washington also strengthened the community organizations in which Obama was cutting his teeth, says Ransom. Obama's Project Vote, which put him on the local political map, was a successor to the South Side voter registration drive that made Washington's election possible.

"Everybody owes something to Harold Washington, because that was something they never thought could happen," Ransom says. "If Harold can be mayor, what can't we do? Obama talks about the audacity of hope. That audacity has grown into the notion that a black man can be president of the United States."

Before Washington, a black Chicagoan pol's highest aspiration was U.S. representative. After Washington, it became senator, and finally, president. Plenty of other cities have had black mayors -- Detroit, Atlanta, Dallas, Houston, New York, Los Angeles, Cleveland, Baltimore -- but in none of those places have blacks achieved as much statewide political success. Chicago has two unique advantages, says political consultant Don Rose. First, it's in Cook County, which contains nearly half of Illinois' voters. Second, the local Democratic Party is a countywide organization. After Chicago's Carol Moseley Braun beat two white men to win the 1992 Democratic Senate primary, precinct captains in white Chicago neighborhoods and the suburbs whipped up votes for her in the general election.

"They had to go out and sell the black person to demonstrate that the party was still open," says Rose, who sees "direct links" from Washington to Moseley Braun to Obama.

"It was a hard-fought thing. If you use Harold Washington's election as the pivot point, what you begin to see is black politicians making challenges to the regular organizations, and then the organizations having to support them."

 

For much more on the the tumultuous, transformative, years of Harold Washington's tenure in Chicago, listen to a great program from Ira Glass' This American Life, that was first aired in 1997 on the 10th anniversary of Washington's death.

By the way, on that website, I learned that the Washington-Obama connection is embodied in David Axelrod, "a political advisor to Harold Washington during Washington's second mayoral race and who is also chief political and media advisor to Illinois Senator (and Presidential candidate) Barack Obama."

February 06, 2008

Super Tuesday -- difference in total votes less than half a percent

Not quite all the votes have been counted yet, but the vast majority have been (including 93% in California), so I decided to quickly tally up the total votes for Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama yesterday to see if either managed to satisfy my arbitrary criterion for a "winner".  Remember, that arbitrary criterion was a margin in the total number of votes of around 4%.

The results so far (8:40 AM CST), not including Alaska, which I only saw delegate totals for (but it's a small state so won't throw things off by too much):

Hillary Clinton   7.286 million votes
Barack Obama   7.242 million votes

That's a difference of 45,000 votes out of 14.5 million -- less than a third of a percent.

So Super Tuesday, the first near-national primary, was essentially a tie.

February 04, 2008

The 'Real Action' cometh - on the verge of Super Tuesday

Well, the time has come at last, after a very long month.  The preliminaries are over -- Super Tuesday is tomorrow.  This time, believe the hype.

And while I aligned myself with Barack Obama several weeks back, I've tried not to write much about the primaries as I didn't want to contribute to the divisiveness that, at times, threatened to spiral out of control. Fortunately, the candidates helped rein that back in over the last couple weeks.

As we all should have learned by now, don't take polls too literally.  When the candidates (the Democratic ones, at least) are both of such high quality and there is no dramatic ideological difference, it is natural for people to make up their minds -- even change their minds -- at the last minute.  This is all the more true since the 15% of Democrats who were supporting John Edwards have had to pick someone else in the last week.

But if we do take the polls seriously, it appears Hillary Clinton is still clinging to a small, but non-negligible, national lead over Obama.  While it doesn't appear likely either will have an unobstructed path to the nomination after tomorrow, one could still take a clear and obvious lead. 

I have settled on my own criterion for such a "victory" tomorrow:  a margin in total number of votes greater than some arbitrary threshhold, say 4%.  It is the margin in total votes that, I feel, will be more indicative of how the rest of the primary season will play out.  On the other hand, I definitely will be paying attention to who wins individual closely-contested states, such as California, Missouri, New Jersey, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Georgia, etc.  After all, winning states is the object of the general election, so one of the top criteria for the eventual Democratic nominee should be how well that person is at winning states.

And while there is some speculation that a long nomination battle harms the Democratic party, I believe quite the opposite -- as long as the divisiveness is kept in check, as it now appears to be.  If John McCain seals the GOP nomination tomorrow or soon thereafter (despite not yet having been able to win more than 37% in any state so far) and Clinton and Obama continue to battle for another month or more, the Democrats will steal all the media attention for many weeks.  And even if the nomination isn't settled until April or May, there are still several months after that to prepare for the conventions and the general election.  Plus, if the Democrats don't have a nominee yet, the GOP cannot properly focus their vicious slanders.

Barring an unexpected decisive result tomorrow, I am looking forward to being able to cast a meaningful vote myself come March 4 when Texas finally votes.

June 2008

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