B and B

Obama's new direction?

How is Obama going to handle the Republicans who are virtually unanimously out to destroy him?  As Paul Krugman relates, his recent words and actions are not a good sign.  I hope this changes very soon.

Mr. Obama’s [freezing federal workers'] pay ploy might, just might, have been justified if he had used the announcement of a freeze as an occasion to take a strong stand against Republican demands — to declare that at a time when deficits are an important issue, tax breaks for the wealthiest aren’t acceptable.

But he didn’t. Instead, he apparently intended the pay freeze announcement as a peace gesture to Republicans the day before a bipartisan summit. At that meeting, Mr. Obama, who has faced two years of complete scorched-earth opposition, declared that he had failed to reach out sufficiently to his implacable enemies. He did not, as far as anyone knows, wear a sign on his back saying “Kick me,” although he might as well have.

I do remember that there were times in 1995 after the last Republican takeover during a Democratic administration when I was about completely fed up with Bill Clinton.  His signing of the salvage logging rider, suspending environmental laws to permit accelerated logging in U.S. National Forests, was almost the last straw for me.  Fortunately Clinton realized his mistakes and turned things around in time.

A New Era begins

Our shiny new train is departing. Where shall we take it?

Lilly Ledbetter to address Dem convention on equal pay for women

More details from the convention website:

“We are honored that Lilly Ledbetter will address the Democratic Convention,” said Senator Barack Obama. “The fact that women are paid less than their male coworkers for doing the same job is unacceptable in the 21st century and counter to both the progress we've made and our shared values as Americans. Lilly Ledbetter's case before the Supreme Court has once again awakened the nation to this discrimination, and it's time we join together to right this wrong and pay women equal pay for equal work."

“The theme of Tuesday night’s program is Renewing America’s Promise, and there is no more critical promise that we can keep to American women than to ensure pay equity,” said Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Permanent Chair of the 2008 Convention. “There is a clear difference between the parties when it comes to pay equity, and this election could not be more critical when it comes to garnering support for reversing the Supreme Court’s recent 5-4 decision in the Ledbetter v. Goodyear case.  As American women are called upon to do more and more for their families with less and less resources coming in, the least we can do is to ensure pay equity.”

Apparently she'll be speaking at around 8pm Central time.

Super Tuesday -- difference in total votes less than half a percent

Not quite all the votes have been counted yet, but the vast majority have been (including 93% in California), so I decided to quickly tally up the total votes for Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama yesterday to see if either managed to satisfy my arbitrary criterion for a "winner".  Remember, that arbitrary criterion was a margin in the total number of votes of around 4%.

The results so far (8:40 AM CST), not including Alaska, which I only saw delegate totals for (but it's a small state so won't throw things off by too much):

Hillary Clinton   7.286 million votes
Barack Obama   7.242 million votes

That's a difference of 45,000 votes out of 14.5 million -- less than a third of a percent.

So Super Tuesday, the first near-national primary, was essentially a tie.

The Iowa effect

The hype surrounding the Iowa caucuses went from high to ridiculous last night.  It is even becoming hard for me to resist, particularly since my preferred candidate is the beneficiary.  Yet Obama supporters should not get overconfident, as many more, and much bigger states are still to come.  Things can easily end up very different than they appear right now.  I still believe the real decision point will be on Feb 5 and not before.  There is no reason for Edwards or Clinton supporters to even think of giving up before then, and not even reason to get discouraged.

With the much greater Democratic turnout than in any previous Iowa caucus, some of my concerns about the caucus system were alleviated.  Even still, the number of caucus voters was much smaller than the number of people who will be voting in November, and a small fraction of the total voting age population of the state. 

As Kevin Drum pointed out last night, "It's funny how sometimes you have to wait and see how you actually react to something to know how you're going to react to something."  In this sense, this first official voting of the primary season will likely end up very meaningful to many of us after all, in giving us a significant push towards or away from certain candidates.  It's impossible not to pay attention to that, as it happens inside our own heads. So I overstated things in my previous post.  The immediate results do not matter, but the effect they have on the rest of us is quite real and important.

In Drum's case, the effect seems to have -- temporarily, at least -- knocked him out of his long-held, vague anti-Obama attitude.  In my case, it confirmed that I am an Obama supporter -- a direction I had already been headed strongly in but hadn't fully arrived at.  It also helped me realize that I would be satisfied without Hillary Clinton as the nominee, and so am certainly not in her camp despite my positive feelings about her.

As for Edwards, I would be happy with him as the nominee, yet I feel Obama is a stronger candidate with a much higher upside for the long term.  So I am hoping to see Obama come out on top when the "real action" starts on February 5.

Iowa caucus is a meaningless straw poll. The real action is February 5.

The media and blogger hype surrounding the Iowa caucuses has been as great this year as I have ever seen it.  I find this troubling given how undemocratic the caucus process is, how few people participate, and how unrepresentative those people are of the country as a whole.

No matter who "wins" Iowa (as if getting less than 40% of the vote should even count as winning), we should pay little attention.  We should treat the Iowa caucus results as a curiosity, much like the similarly undemocratic and unrepresentative straw polls a few months back that no one even remembers now.

The real action is on February 5, when a large fraction of the country will have the chance to cast their votes for their party's nominee.

I say this as a nominally undecided Democratic voter who is now leaning towards Barack Obama, but with a soft spot for both John Edwards and Hillary Clinton.

Schmitt: The 'Theory of Change' Primary

Listening to and reading everyday political commentary, from newspapers to blogs to even such allegedly respectable sources as NPR and PBS' Newshour, I have frequently despaired at the lack of interesting insights from the talking heads. 

But then I saw this article at The American Prospect from Mark Schmitt -- "The 'Theory of Change' Primary" -- and my mood brightened.  And my 'undecided' status in the Dem primary wavered.

Texas Progressive Alliance weekly blog roundup

The Texas Progressive Alliance puts together a roundup of members' highlighted posts on a weekly basis.  I've been remiss in not posting these more often.  This week's roundup was compiled by Vince at Capitol Annex.  You may notice a post by your truly buried in there somewhere.

TXsharon says, "YOU SUCK AT&T" and she can only say that because she doesn't use AT&T. Over at Bluedaze she tells why, if you use AT&T for your Internets, you can't say they suck.

Stace at Dos Centavos reports on racism and bigotry committed by a corporation and a UT fraternity.

What's really going on in Irving? Xanthippas at Three Wise Men notes there's more going on in the immigration crackdown than possible profiling and arrests.

CouldBeTrue at South Texas Chisme notes that NOW wants to know why U.S. District Judge Judge Samuel Kent was 'punished' with a 4 month vacation after the investigation into sexual harassment charges concluded.

Criticism of Hillary Clinton's laugh is no laughing matter, so says PDiddie at Brains and Eggs in HRC:LOL.

Might be time for a bit of horsetrading on the floor of the Senate, and one of Texas Kaos' regular diarists, Fake Consultant, has a bit of advice on the subject for Majority Leader Harry Reid in On Larry Craig, And Filibusters or Wanna Make a Trade?

Truth, it has been said, is the first casualty of war. The Republican-Media coalition must have declared war on Social Security, and Blue 19th exposes their lies.

Human rights advocates cheered the Williamson County Commission's vote to sever ties with the operator of the T. Don Hutto holding facility for undocumented immigrants, but Eye On Williamson's wcnews wonders if a battle within the Republican party over the county's share of the profits may have driven their decision.

McBlogger at McBlogger speculates as to the reasons Sharon Keller (Chief Justice of the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals) needed to get out of work at 5 on Sept. 25th.

Vince at Capitol Annex tells us about the Texas Conservative Coalition's new Election Integrity Task Force, its new Chairwoman and its likely recommendations.

Peter at B and B writes about the quixotic attempts by a group of environmentally-conscious Republicans to get their chosen political party to care about conservation and stewardship: Republicans for Environmental Protection, all 70 of them, meet in San Antonio.

Off the Kuff looks at the ongoing dispute between the Harris County Appraisal District and the State Comptroller over how commercial properties are taxed.

In Texas Kaos diary, Dallas and Denton drinking water at risk by TxDOT's route selection choice for FM299, Faith Chatham's shares a letter from Highland Village Parents Group activist/homeowner Susie Venable to Mayor Tom Leppert of Dallas regarding the City Water Department's failure to monitor possible MTBE contamination issues. Despite cries of running out of money, TxDOT selected the only route (of 8) which would double project costs by requiring bridges to be built across three tributaries to Lake Lewisville (drinking water source for Denton and Dallas Counties) in the area of the lake already contaminated by MTBE.

Gary at Easter Lemming updates the Pasadena Mayor Manlove resignation and his running for Lampson's seat. There are a lot of happy faces at city hall. Easter Lemming broke the story back on the 22nd.

Trinity Trickey strikes again at The Texas Cloverleaf. This time pro toll road literature features the war on trees and the fight against Angela Hunt by the powers that be. Only in Dallas.

This week's installment of GLBTube at the Houston GLBT Political Caucus Blog is a double feature: first, a sampling of clips related to ENDA; then gay republicans are running ads in order to sabotage hypocritical presidential candidates!

WhosPlayin hammers away on GOP Congressman Michael Burgess for dissing Muslims and being one of 30 boneheads to vote for giving mercenary firms like Blackwater a license to kill.

The Texas Blue looks at how the evangelical social movement isn't playing nice-nice with the Republican Party any longer, and why that is good for America.

Earl Ofari Hutchinson, author, syndicated columnist, political analyst and commentator, who is on a virtual book tour will stop by Para Justicia y Libertad on Oct 11 to discuss his new book The Latino Challenge to Black America: Towards a Conversation Between African-Americans and Hispanics.

Hal at Half Empty counted a Lucky Seven congressional candidates that want to run against Nick Lampson in Texas CD 22. He ROFLs and LMAOs.

The race to oust Texas Senator John Cornyn

The first term of one of Texas' incumbent U.S. Senators, Republican John Cornyn, ends in 2008.  He will be running for re-election no doubt, but his approval rating is far from stellar, and his long record of serving as a yes-man for the Bushies may finally come back to haunt him.  So who will step into this opportunity and  challenge Cornyn in the name of the recently-moribund, but now showing signs of life, Democratic Party in Texas?

Right now, it looks like at least two people will be vying for that chance, though I don't think either have officially made the announcement.  The two are lawyer and Democratic fundraiser Mikal Watts (his first name is pronounced like "Michael," I am told) and state Rep. Rick Noriega.  Neither of them is yet widely known, but that pretty much goes for every single living Democrat in this state, unfortunately.

Watts has a web site already, which includes the following information about him:

Watts’ legal work embodies his commitment to the ideals of justice and fair play that he learned from his mother, who was a teacher and his father, who was an attorney. He also learned the value of hard work and persistence from his mother, who attended law school in Houston, while raising four school-age children in Corpus Christi. As an attorney, Watts has fought with passion and commitment for average working Texans.

Watts’ belief in American ideals such as fairness, justice, liberty and opportunity for all has led him to consider a run for the United States Senate. He believes, like most Texans, that there is a lack of real leadership and accountability in Washington and that it’s time for a change and he is committed to fighting for Texans so they will have opportunities and hope for the future.

Not much hard info there yet, but it's early.

Noriega's "pre-campaign" is being pushed heavily by a number of Texas bloggers, mostly those based in and around Houston, which is where Noriega's district is located.  These bloggers have formed a "Draft Noriega," movement.  And, while Noriega doesn't appear to have a website yet, the draft movement does.  And it includes this info, posted by the grandfather of the Texas blogosphere, Charles Kuffner:

Noriega spent a year in Afghanistan on the front lines of the "war on terror". He's also been deployed to the Texas border to train National Guardsmen on matters of border security. What are the two biggest issues these days? John Cornyn can talk about these things. Rick Noriega has actually been there and done them.

While I don't know too much yet about either Watts or Noriega, on the surface, both appear to be excellent choices with which to replace the worse-than-useless Cornyn in the Senate.  I certainly welcome a contested primary with two worthy candidates such as this.  It could do wonders to continue improving the Democratic Party's fortunes in this state. 

Whoever ends up running against him, Cornyn certainly needs to go.  With Bush gone after 2008, there won't be much for a Bush yes-man to do. 

Developer-supported candidates take over Helotes

So much for my hope that Helotes would turn back the forces of uncontrolled development -- the forces that were the primary contributor to the infamous mulch fire that caused so much distress to that small town so recently.

A contentious, often bitter campaign came to an end Saturday night when all three incumbents up for election — the mayor and two council members — lost to their challengers.

The incumbents, who ran on a pro-preservation slate with the motto "Take Back Helotes," will vacate their seats next week. The challengers, who ran as an unofficial slate that came to be known as the "red party" because of the color of their campaign signs, promised a plan for smart growth and development. They will take their seats after the votes are canvassed May 17.

Tom Schoolcraft beat Jon Allan for mayor, Jeff Ellis defeated Linda Boyer-Owens for City Council Place 3 and Rich Whitehead took the Place 5 council seat from Stuart Birnbaum.

Schoolcraft defeated Allan by 21 votes. Ellis won by 53, and Whitehead took his seat with a 76-vote margin.

Allan said he was surprised and disappointed and the results just "blew him away."

"What do you say? For me, it is really difficult because I worked so hard for this city, and I don't think anybody could have worked so hard and done so much for the city as Linda, Stuart and I did," he said.

"We are pleased with the results, and that's about it," Schoolcraft said Saturday night. "We have a lot of happy constituents out here, and we are having fun celebrating. We are going to get to work as soon as we are given the oath."